Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Thoughs on David Ignatius Video Blog about Iraq



This made me think about the central irony of the Iraq war. We get attacked by al qaeda so we start a war with the Bathists in power in Iraq even though they had no direct involvement with al qaeda. Next the presence of americans fighting in Iraq is a great mobilizer for al qudea so Iraq becomes a hotbed of terrorist activity. After years of denial and ineffective strategy we make a deal with the Bathists and other Sunnis (now called the awakening) to defeat al queda. So you make an alliance with the guys you went in to overthrow to solve a problem that didn't exist before you went in. Nice.

To be fair, different from before we went in the majority Shiites have power now which is more fair, but I doubt that many Sunnis have given up their notions that Iraq is really "rightfully" theirs to govern, and the for the Kurds being part of Iraq is mostly a matter of convince. However, the up side is that Iraq really does exist. Meaning that there is a set of stories about the historical Iraq that most Iraqis have in the back of their mind that binds the country together and imbibes the notion of Iraq with a sense of legitimacy. Thus I still think that with good leadership and good neighbors, despite the troubles past and future (the future ones described by Ignatius in the video), Iraq can still succeed.

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